Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | SPAL |
43.3% | 25.77% | 30.93% |
Both teams to score 53.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.66% | 50.33% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.72% | 72.28% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.86% | 23.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43% | 57% |
SPAL Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.77% | 30.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.61% | 66.39% |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | SPAL |
1-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 7.49% 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-0 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.06% Total : 43.29% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.37% 1-2 @ 7.33% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 2% Other @ 3.18% Total : 30.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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