Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 17.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Vitoria de Setubal win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Vitoria de Setubal |
59.1% | 23.2% | 17.71% |
Both teams to score 47.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.32% | 51.68% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.54% | 73.46% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.82% | 17.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.56% | 47.44% |
Vitoria de Setubal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.05% | 42.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.75% | 79.25% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Vitoria de Setubal |
1-0 @ 12.99% 2-0 @ 11.44% 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 6.72% 3-1 @ 5.68% 4-0 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-2 @ 1.06% 5-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.62% Total : 59.08% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.74% Total : 23.19% | 0-1 @ 6.24% 1-2 @ 4.64% 0-2 @ 2.64% 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.74% Total : 17.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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