Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Vitoria de Setubal win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Vitoria de Setubal |
41.23% | 27.73% | 31.04% |
Both teams to score 47.69% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.03% | 57.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.33% | 78.66% |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.35% | 27.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.8% | 63.2% |
Vitoria de Setubal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.92% | 34.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.23% | 70.76% |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Vitoria de Setubal |
1-0 @ 12.11% 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 7.79% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.86% Total : 41.22% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.42% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.73% | 0-1 @ 10.14% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 5.46% 1-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.32% Total : 31.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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