Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 16.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.78%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Belenenses | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
16.11% | 22.05% | 61.84% |
Both teams to score 47.49% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.34% | 49.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.32% | 71.68% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.23% | 43.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.06% | 79.93% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.46% | 15.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.53% | 44.47% |
Score Analysis |
Belenenses | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 5.62% 2-1 @ 4.32% 2-0 @ 2.32% 3-1 @ 1.19% 3-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.55% Total : 16.11% | 1-1 @ 10.46% 0-0 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.76% Total : 22.04% | 0-1 @ 12.66% 0-2 @ 11.78% 1-2 @ 9.74% 0-3 @ 7.32% 1-3 @ 6.04% 0-4 @ 3.41% 1-4 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.5% 0-5 @ 1.27% 2-4 @ 1.16% 1-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.1% Total : 61.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |