Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Braga | 5 | 15 | 13 |
3 | Porto | 5 | 8 | 12 |
4 | Portimonense | 5 | 5 | 12 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Boavista | 5 | -2 | 9 |
7 | Chaves | 5 | 2 | 8 |
8 | Casa Pia | 5 | 2 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 80.1%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 6.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.05%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.14%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Chaves |
80.1% ( -0.02) | 12.98% ( 0.02) | 6.9% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 46.81% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.65% ( -0.07) | 33.35% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.87% ( -0.08) | 55.12% ( 0.08) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.53% ( -0.02) | 6.47% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.82% ( -0.05) | 24.18% ( 0.05) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.05% ( -0.04) | 49.95% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.37% ( -0.03) | 84.62% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Chaves |
2-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.68% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.57% ( -0) 4-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 3.47% Total : 80.1% | 1-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.7% Total : 12.98% | 0-1 @ 2.24% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.13% Other @ 2.53% Total : 6.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
4 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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