Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Arouca | 4 | -8 | 6 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 0 | 5 |
13 | Vizela | 5 | -1 | 5 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Braga | 4 | 14 | 10 |
3 | Porto | 4 | 6 | 9 |
4 | Portimonense | 4 | 4 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Porto |
20.8% ( -1) | 22.94% ( -0.41) | 56.26% ( 1.41) |
Both teams to score 53.13% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.54% ( 0.56) | 46.46% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.26% ( 0.52) | 68.74% ( -0.52) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.49% ( -0.67) | 36.51% ( 0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.71% ( -0.68) | 73.3% ( 0.68) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.68% ( 0.7) | 16.32% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.1% ( 1.25) | 45.9% ( -1.25) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 6% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.76% Total : 20.8% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.94% | 0-1 @ 10.8% 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 9.79% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 5.96% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 5.92% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 3% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.7% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 2.68% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.07) 0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.23% Total : 56.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
4 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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