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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 6, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Benfica

Estoril
1 - 5
Benfica

Serginho (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Musa (25'), Silva (30', 40'), Mario (67'), Ristic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portimonense 1-1 Estoril
Sunday, October 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maccabi Haifa 1-6 Benfica
Wednesday, November 2 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Estoril Praia 0-3 Benfica

Benfica head into the weekend as one of the most in-form sides in the division and will be backing themselves against an Estoril Praia side who have struggled for results on home turf. Looking at past results between the sides, we are tipping Schmidt's side to claim a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 76.32%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 8.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.56%) and 0-1 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawBenfica
8.49% (-0.515 -0.52) 15.2% (-0.524 -0.52) 76.32% (1.041 1.04)
Both teams to score 46.17% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.6% (0.736 0.74)38.4% (-0.732 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.31% (0.775 0.77)60.69% (-0.773 -0.77)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.39% (-0.654 -0.65)49.61% (0.656 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.62% (-0.462 -0.46)84.38% (0.465 0.47)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.62% (0.414 0.41)8.38% (-0.4111 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.84% (1.012 1.01)29.16% (-1.009 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 8.49%
    Benfica 76.3%
    Draw 15.2%
Estoril PraiaDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 2.91% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 2.53% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-0 @ 1.02% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 8.49%
1-1 @ 7.23% (-0.249 -0.25)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.14% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 15.2%
0-2 @ 12.77% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-3 @ 10.56% (0.25 0.25)
0-1 @ 10.3% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 8.96% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 7.4% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-4 @ 6.55% (0.279 0.28)
1-4 @ 4.59% (0.112 0.11)
0-5 @ 3.25% (0.198 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-5 @ 2.28% (0.098 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.61% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-6 @ 1.34% (0.106 0.11)
1-6 @ 0.94% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 76.3%

How you voted: Estoril vs Benfica

Estoril Praia
8.9%
Draw
1.8%
Benfica
89.3%
56
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 6pm
Benfica
2-1
Estoril
Silva (34'), Ramos (53')
Weigl (29')
Franco (90+3')
Acevedo (10'), Joaozinho (81')
Oct 30, 2021 7pm
Estoril
1-1
Benfica
Rosier (90')
Lourenco (42'), Africo (54'), Geraldes (90+4')
Verissimo (2')
Radonjic (55'), Verissimo (75')
Mar 4, 2021 8.15pm
Benfica
2-0
Estoril
Ramos (43'), Waldschmidt (90')
Tavares (29'), Pizzi (30')

Thierry Lazare (15')
Feb 11, 2021 8.15pm
Estoril
1-3
Benfica
Vidigal (24')
Clovis (12'), Gomes (64')
Nunez (45', 78'), Seferovic (69')
Goncalves (8'), Otamendi (75'), Taarabt (82')
Apr 21, 2018 8.30pm
Estoril
1-2
Benfica
Halliche (63')
Ailton (24'), Allano (51'), Eduardo (74'), Valente (86')
Silva (10'), Salvio (92')
Almeida (72'), Salvio (94'), Varela (96')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica32244471274476
3Braga33215771492268
4Porto32206660263466
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes33186949371260
6MoreirenseMoreirense32147113334-149
7AroucaArouca321371253421146
8FamalicaoFamalicao331012113639-342
9SC FarenseFarense32107154546-137
10Rio AveRio Ave3361893742-536
11Casa Pia3298153648-1235
12Gil Vicente3289154051-1133
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14BoavistaBoavista32710153658-2231
15Estrela Amadora33612153253-2130
16PortimonensePortimonense3378183671-3529
RVizela33510183464-3025
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823


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