Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chicago Fire in this match.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | Nashville SC |
40.57% ( 0.07) | 27.7% ( -0.01) | 31.73% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 48.01% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.32% ( 0.01) | 57.68% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.57% ( 0.01) | 78.44% ( -0.01) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.12% ( 0.05) | 27.88% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.51% ( 0.06) | 63.49% ( -0.05) |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.57% ( -0.03) | 33.43% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.94% ( -0.04) | 70.06% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | Nashville SC |
1-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.57% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.32% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
11 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |