Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 47.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Dijon |
47.57% | 27.34% | 25.1% |
Both teams to score 45.26% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.68% | 59.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.28% | 79.71% |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.98% | 25.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.31% | 59.69% |
Dijon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.36% | 39.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.68% | 76.32% |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Dijon |
1-0 @ 13.74% 2-0 @ 9.52% 2-1 @ 8.81% 3-0 @ 4.4% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-1 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.22% Total : 47.56% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 9.92% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 9.18% 1-2 @ 5.88% 0-2 @ 4.25% 1-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.41% Total : 25.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |