Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 83.82%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 4.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.75%) and 1-0 (11.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.44%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Dijon |
83.82% | 11.75% | 4.43% |
Both teams to score 34.8% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.61% | 39.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.26% | 61.74% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.04% | 6.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.5% | 25.5% |
Dijon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
37.41% | 62.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
8.08% | 91.92% |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Dijon |
2-0 @ 15.47% 3-0 @ 13.75% 1-0 @ 11.6% 4-0 @ 9.16% 2-1 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 6.44% 5-0 @ 4.89% 4-1 @ 4.29% 5-1 @ 2.29% 6-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.51% 6-1 @ 1.02% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.96% Total : 83.81% | 1-1 @ 5.44% 0-0 @ 4.35% 2-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 0.26% Total : 11.75% | 0-1 @ 2.04% 1-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.12% Total : 4.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 29 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 69 | 25 | 44 | 66 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 55 | 38 | 17 | 55 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 47 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
9 | Marseille | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 40 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 36 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |