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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Nov 28, 2020 at 4pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Nantes

Marseille
3 - 1
Nantes

Thauvin (2'), Payet (35'), Benedetto (60' pen.)
Payet (47'), Rongier (54'), Gonzalez (71'), Strootman (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Blas (73')
Castelletto (57'), Blas (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawNantes
38.05%29.2%32.75%
Both teams to score 44.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.31%62.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.76%82.24%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17%31.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73%68.26%
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.65%35.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.89%72.11%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 38.05%
    Nantes 32.75%
    Draw 29.19%
MarseilleDrawNantes
1-0 @ 12.88%
2-1 @ 7.67%
2-0 @ 7.37%
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 38.05%
1-1 @ 13.39%
0-0 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 3.99%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.19%
0-1 @ 11.7%
1-2 @ 6.96%
0-2 @ 6.08%
1-3 @ 2.41%
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 32.75%

Head to Head
Feb 22, 2020 4.30pm
Gameweek 26
Marseille
1-3
Nantes
Sanson (39')
Amavi (44')
Limbombe (34'), Bamba (53'), Gonzalez (90' og.)
Simon (45'), Traore (61'), Girotto (64')
Aug 17, 2019 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Nantes
0-0
Marseille
Sanson (42'), Kamara (48'), Strootman (88')
Apr 28, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 34
Marseille
1-2
Nantes
Balotelli (25')
Ocampos (17'), Payet (32'), Balotelli (41'), Gustavo (45')
Moutoussamy (22'), Girotto (50')
Traore (42')
Dec 5, 2018 6pm
Gameweek 16
Nantes
3-2
Marseille
Sala (30'), Toure (45'), Boschilia (64')
Sanson (28'), Thauvin (36' pen.)
Strootman (15')
Mar 4, 2018 8pm
Marseille
1-1
Nantes
Thauvin (90')
Gustavo (4'), Rami (54'), Amavi (69')
Dubois (11')
Dubois (35'), Pallois (39'), Girotto (87')
Pallois (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco30177656381858
3Brest30158744291553
4Lille301410643261752
5Nice3013983324948
6Lens30137103932746
7Rennes30119104436842
8Marseille30101194537841
9Lyon30125133949-1041
10Reims30117123741-440
11Toulouse30910113639-337
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier31911113943-437
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3099123341-836
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Le HavreLe Havre31611143041-1129
16Metz3085173149-1829
17Lorient3068163659-2326
18Clermont30410162149-2822


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