Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Marseille in this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Marseille |
31.36% | 27.34% | 41.29% |
Both teams to score 48.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.56% | 56.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.55% | 77.45% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.95% | 33.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.36% | 69.64% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.1% | 26.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.78% | 62.22% |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 9.84% 2-1 @ 7.16% 2-0 @ 5.45% 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 2.01% 3-2 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.36% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 11.67% 1-2 @ 8.49% 0-2 @ 7.66% 1-3 @ 3.71% 0-3 @ 3.36% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 29 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 69 | 25 | 44 | 66 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 55 | 38 | 17 | 55 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 47 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
9 | Marseille | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 40 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 36 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |