Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 45.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Metz had a probability of 26.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Metz |
45.53% | 27.61% | 26.86% |
Both teams to score 45.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.78% | 59.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.36% | 79.64% |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.02% | 25.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.01% | 60.99% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.95% | 38.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.19% | 74.81% |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 13.32% 2-0 @ 8.98% 2-1 @ 8.68% 3-0 @ 4.04% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.06% Total : 45.53% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 9.88% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.6% | 0-1 @ 9.55% 1-2 @ 6.22% 0-2 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.63% Total : 26.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 59 |
2 | Brest | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 47 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 46 |
4 | Lille | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Nice | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 43 |
6 | Lens | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 42 |
7 | Marseille | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 |
8 | Rennes | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 39 |
9 | Reims | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Lyon | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 34 |
11 | Toulouse | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 29 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 29 |
13 | Le HavreLe Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 27 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 26 |
15 | Lorient | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 26 |
16 | NantesNantes | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
17 | Metz | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 23 |
18 | Clermont | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 20 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |