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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 68.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 14.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 3-1 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Heracles |
68.09% ( -0.02) | 17.5% ( 0) | 14.4% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.17% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.68% ( 0.01) | 32.31% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.06% ( 0.01) | 53.93% ( -0.01) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.31% ( -0) | 8.69% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.08% ( -0) | 29.91% ( 0) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.8% ( 0.02) | 35.19% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.05% ( 0.03) | 71.94% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Heracles |
2-1 @ 9.53% 2-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.76% 1-0 @ 7.47% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.43% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.74% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.05% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.48% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.32% 5-0 @ 2.22% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) 6-1 @ 0.94% ( -0) 6-0 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 3.38% Total : 68.09% | 1-1 @ 7.8% 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.06% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 17.5% | 1-2 @ 4.07% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 14.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 58 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 46 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 35 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
14 | Heracles | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 25 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 75 | -45 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | -1 |
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