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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Heracles Almelo

Utrecht
1 - 0
Heracles

Jensen (79')
Toornstra (41'), Elkarouani (74'), van der Hoorn (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sonnenberg (89'), Vejinovic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 0-1 Utrecht
Sunday, February 18 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-0 Heracles
Friday, February 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 2-1 Heracles

After firing in eight goals during their last two home matches, Utrecht should be confident of securing three points against a Heracles side who struggle on their travels. Friday's visitors have lost back-to-back away contests recently, and we can envisage that run stretching to three games for Heraclieden at Stadion Galgenwaard. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 68.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 14.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 3-1 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawHeracles
68.09% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 17.5% (0.0030000000000001 0) 14.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.17% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)32.31% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.06% (0.011000000000003 0.01)53.93% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.31% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)8.69% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.08% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)29.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.8% (0.022000000000006 0.02)35.19% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.05% (0.025000000000002 0.03)71.94% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 68.09%
    Heracles 14.4%
    Draw 17.5%
FC UtrechtDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 9.53%
2-0 @ 9.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.76%
1-0 @ 7.47% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 7.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 4.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 4.54% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 4.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 2.32%
5-0 @ 2.22% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-2 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
6-0 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 68.09%
1-1 @ 7.8%
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.06% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 17.5%
1-2 @ 4.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 14.4%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Heracles

FC Utrecht
80.0%
Draw
16.0%
Heracles
4.0%
50
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
Heracles
1-3
Utrecht
Nankishi (62')
Limbombe (25'), Willems (60'), Vejinovic (73')
Romeny (5'), Jensen (45+6'), Bakboord (90+4' og.)
Bozdogan (34'), Fraulo (58'), Barkas (89')
Feb 11, 2022 7pm
Nov 28, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 13
Utrecht
1-0
Heracles
Knoester (90+3' og.)
Paes (80')

Rente (83')
Jan 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 17
Utrecht
2-0
Heracles
Van de Streek (31'), Dalmau (72')
van Overeem (34'), St Jago (89')

Breukers (40')
Nov 1, 2020 11.15am
Gameweek 7
Heracles
4-1
Utrecht
Vloet (2', 63', 71'), Van der Water (45+1')
Szoke (26'), Rente (61')
Gustafson (62' pen.)
Ramselaar (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3098133452-1835
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3045212268-46-1


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