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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
49.98% ( -0.2) | 23.18% ( -0.12) | 26.84% ( 0.32) |
Both teams to score 59.57% ( 0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.71% ( 0.84) | 41.29% ( -0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.31% ( 0.85) | 63.69% ( -0.85) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.32% ( 0.24) | 16.68% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.45% ( 0.43) | 46.55% ( -0.43) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.5% ( 0.68) | 28.5% ( -0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.72% ( 0.84) | 64.27% ( -0.84) |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.31% Total : 49.98% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.17% | 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.75% 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.53% Total : 26.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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