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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for NEC had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | NEC |
53.65% ( 0.42) | 23.7% ( -0.07) | 22.65% ( -0.35) |
Both teams to score 53.28% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.49% ( -0.06) | 47.5% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.28% ( -0.05) | 69.71% ( 0.05) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.37% ( 0.13) | 17.63% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.77% ( 0.23) | 48.23% ( -0.23) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.69% ( -0.35) | 35.31% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.93% ( -0.37) | 72.06% ( 0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | NEC |
1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 3.62% Total : 53.65% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.69% | 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 22.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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