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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 17.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
62.38% ( 0.17) | 20.27% ( -0.2) | 17.35% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 55.98% ( 0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.3% ( 0.97) | 39.7% ( -0.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.95% ( 1) | 62.05% ( -1.01) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.8% ( 0.34) | 12.19% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.15% ( 0.72) | 37.85% ( -0.72) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.76% ( 0.62) | 36.24% ( -0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.97% ( 0.62) | 73.02% ( -0.62) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.81% Total : 62.38% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.27% | 1-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 17.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 58 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 46 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 35 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
14 | Heracles | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 25 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 75 | -45 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 70 | -45 | 2 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |