MX23RW : Friday, May 10 02:53:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 at 8pm UK
Goffertstadion
Excelsior

Nijmegen
1 - 1
Excelsior

Dimata (59')
Marquez (81'), Tannane (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lamprou (88')
Seymor (22'), Baas (74'), van Duinen (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Feyenoord
Sunday, October 2 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 0-1 Utrecht
Sunday, October 2 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-1 SBV Excelsior

With the teams neck and neck in the standings, we are anticipating a fairly even contest with chances at both ends. We can also see NEC just about managing to pip their visitors to all three points at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
NECDrawSBV Excelsior
50.89% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09) 23.84% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03) 25.27% (0.122 0.12)
Both teams to score 55.82% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.43% (0.248 0.25)45.57% (-0.246 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.1% (0.235 0.24)67.9% (-0.233 -0.23)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (0.060000000000002 0.06)17.94% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.23% (0.10299999999999 0.1)48.77% (-0.1 -0.1)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.02% (0.233 0.23)31.98% (-0.231 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.56% (0.265 0.27)68.43% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    NEC 50.9%
    SBV Excelsior 25.27%
    Draw 23.83%
NECDrawSBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.47% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.025 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.38% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 50.9%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.83%
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.41% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.73% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 25.27%

How you voted: NEC vs SBV Excelsior

NEC
66.7%
Draw
20.0%
SBV Excelsior
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2021 7pm
SBV Excelsior
2-1
NEC
Zwarts (63', 79')
Wieffer (48')
Vet (16')
Jan 8, 2021 5.45pm
NEC
3-2
SBV Excelsior
Okita (50'), Elkarouani (79'), Bruijn (86' pen.)
Odenthal (28'), Proper (42'), Okita (72'), Vet (90+5')
Zwarts (14'), Van Rooijen (17')
Wieffer (49'), Matthys (90+4')
Ormonde-Ottewill (76')
Apr 10, 2020 7pm
Dec 6, 2019 7pm
SBV Excelsior
2-1
NEC
Fischer (48'), Zwarts (73')
Ter Haar Romeny (49')
Apr 22, 2017 5.30pm
NEC
0-1
SBV Excelsior

Bikel (6'), Golla (68'), von Haacke (87')
Van Duinen (58')
de Wijs (21')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462


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