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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 63.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 16.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | FC Volendam |
63.75% ( 0.05) | 19.48% ( 0.03) | 16.77% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 57.56% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.94% ( -0.27) | 37.06% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.75% ( -0.29) | 59.25% ( 0.3) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.96% ( -0.06) | 11.04% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.64% ( -0.15) | 35.36% ( 0.15) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.7% ( -0.25) | 35.3% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.94% ( -0.26) | 72.06% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.69% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.63% Total : 63.75% | 1-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 19.48% | 1-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.55% Total : 16.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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