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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 | 0 | 1 |
8 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | FC Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.44%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 16.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
62.44% ( 0.79) | 21.01% ( -0.13) | 16.54% ( -0.65) |
Both teams to score 51.68% ( -0.93) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.46% ( -0.55) | 44.54% ( 0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.09% ( -0.53) | 66.9% ( 0.54) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.32% ( 0.07) | 13.67% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.11% ( 0.13) | 40.88% ( -0.12) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.87% ( -1.12) | 40.13% ( 1.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.23% ( -1.04) | 76.77% ( 1.04) |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
1-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 6.58% 4-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 62.43% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.01% | 0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.93% Total : 16.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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