Copa Sudamericana | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Oct 4, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza2 - 0Corinthians
FT(HT: 0-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Gremio
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Corinthians
Saturday, September 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, September 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
We said: Fortaleza 1-0 Corinthians (Fortaleza advances 2-1 on aggregate)
Fortaleza have often found a way to come out on top throughout these home contests, and we believe their fans will give this team that little bit extra needed to will them to victory and give them an edge against a resilient Corinthians side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 67.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 12.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.83%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Corinthians |
67.27% ( -0.03) | 20.64% ( 0.01) | 12.09% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 41.73% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
