Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 31, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza2 - 1America Mineiro
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fortaleza 3-1 Coritiba
Sunday, August 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: America Mineiro 2-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, August 27 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 27 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
22
We said: Fortaleza 2-0 America Mineiro (Fortaleza advances 5-1 on aggregate)
America have proven to be a resilient bunch in this competition, but facing a side as well-balanced as Fortaleza, and given the struggles of Mineiro in front of goal, we have a hard believing they will be able to reverse the current scoreline in their favour. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 16.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | America Mineiro |
61.17% ( 1.89) | 22.05% ( -0.18) | 16.79% ( -1.7) |
| Both teams to score 48.9% ( -2.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
