Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 2nd Leg
Jul 19, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Ciudad de La Plata
Estudiantes4 - 0Barcelona
FT(HT: 3-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 3-1 Estudiantes
Saturday, July 15 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, July 15 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Estudiantes
Wednesday, July 12 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, July 12 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
We said: Estudiantes 2-0 Barcelona SC (Estudiantes win 3-2 on aggregate)
Despite their indifferent results, Estudiantes' impressive home form — unbeaten since February in all competitions, winning eight and playing out six draws — should carry them to the round of 16 at the expense of Barcelona SC. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 69.13%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 10.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.46%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Barcelona SC |
| 69.13% | 19.97% | 10.9% |
| Both teams to score 40.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
