Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 23
Jul 5, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre
We said: Rosario Central 2-2 Estudiantes
Both teams have not been at their best in recent weeks, and they are only separated by two points in the league table, so the most likely result is a draw.
Given that Rosario have struggled defensively so far this season, keeping just one clean sheet in their last seven games, it would not be a surprise if it is a high-scoring game.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 40.05% . A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 28.7% .
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.78%) . The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (11.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result Rosario Central Draw Estudiantes 40.05% ( 0.2) 28.72% ( -0.08) 31.23% ( -0.12)
Both teams to score 45% ( 0.19)
38.64% ( 0.26) 61.36% ( -0.26)
18.74% ( 0.19) 81.27% ( -0.19)
70.04% ( 0.25) 29.96% ( -0.24)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.93% ( 0.3) 66.07% ( -0.29)
64.25% ( 0.05) 35.75% ( -0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 27.48% ( 0.05) 72.52% ( -0.05)
Rosario Central 40.05%
Estudiantes 31.22%
Draw 28.71%
Rosario Central Draw Estudiantes 1-0 @ 12.91% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.45% Total : 40.05% 1-1 @ 13.27% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.71% 0-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.83% 0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 31.22%
How you voted: Rosario vs Estudiantes
Rosario Central
Draw
Estudiantes
19
rhs 2.0
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