Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 24
Jul 8, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de La Plata
We said: Estudiantes 2-1 Racing Club
Having scored in three of their last four matches, the absence of Hauche in Racing Club's lineup could be a telling factor here, especially when you consider the number of players that are unavailable for selection due to injuries in his absence .
The short turnaround time is another crucial element to factor in here, and with the hosts having a fitter squad coming into this match, we feel they have the upper hand and should just about edge it by a goal.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 56.11% . A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Racing Club had a probability of 20.15% .
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.72%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%) , while for a Racing Club win it was 0-1 (6.55%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood .
Result Estudiantes Draw Racing Club 56.11% ( -1.35) 23.74% ( 0.18) 20.15% ( 1.17)
Both teams to score 49.7% ( 1.28)
49.46% ( 0.75) 50.53% ( -0.76)
27.54% ( 0.66) 72.45% ( -0.66)
82.15% ( -0.22) 17.84% ( 0.22)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 51.4% ( -0.38) 48.59% ( 0.37)
60.49% ( 1.71) 39.5% ( -1.72)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 23.8% ( 1.55) 76.19% ( -1.56)
Estudiantes 56.09%
Racing Club 20.15%
Draw 23.73%
Estudiantes Draw Racing Club 1-0 @ 12.14% ( -0.47) 2-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.45% Total : 56.09% 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.22) Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.73% 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.37% Total : 20.15%
How you voted: Estudiantes vs Racing
Estudiantes
Draw
Racing Club
11
rhs 2.0
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