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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Birmingham logo

Stoke
1 - 2
Birmingham

Thompson (70')
Gooch (90+3'), Wilmot (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Stansfield (10'), Bacuna (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Birmingham City

Stoke will be of confident of doing the double over Birmingham after dominating the reverse fixture last month, but Blues should be a much sterner test with Mowbray at the helm. The visitors have been notoriously poor on their Championship travels this term, but we are backing them to force a share of the points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBirmingham City
44.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 26.46% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 28.56% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.22% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.84% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)54.16% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.43% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)75.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.01% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)23.98% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.77% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)58.23% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.07% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)33.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.4%70.6%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 44.97%
    Birmingham City 28.56%
    Draw 26.45%
Stoke CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.61%
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.29% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.97%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 8.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 28.56%

How you voted: Stoke vs Birmingham

Stoke City
52.0%
Draw
20.0%
Birmingham City
28.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 24
Birmingham
1-3
Stoke
Stansfield (69')
Miyoshi (12'), Bacuna (33')
Thompson (12'), Gooch (31'), Vidigal (53')
Vidigal (34'), Tchamadeu (51'), Bae (83')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 20
Stoke
1-2
Birmingham
Baker (75' pen.)
Hogan (13'), Dean (67')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Stoke
2-2
Birmingham
Campbell (25', 52')
James (12'), Gardner (58')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Birmingham
0-0
Stoke
Hogan (49')
Clucas (57'), Powell (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Swiatek
Sabalenka
7 4 79
5 6 67
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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