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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Stoke logo

Rotherham
0 - 1
Stoke


Eaves (86'), Cafu (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Baker (45+4')
Burger (78'), Pearson (90+4'), Thompson (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Rotherham United 1-1 Stoke City

Rotherham have been a tough nut to crack at the New York Stadium this season, and we are expecting another resolute home display from the Millers as they scrap for survival. Stoke have been much improved since Schumacher replaced Neil last month, but we feel that the Potters will have to settle for a third-straight draw in the Championship this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stoke City in this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawStoke City
23.3% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 24.6% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 52.1% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 51.25% (-0.139 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.41% (-0.231 -0.23)50.59% (0.23500000000001 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.49% (-0.207 -0.21)72.51% (0.211 0.21)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.58% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)36.42% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)73.21% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (-0.152 -0.15)19.4% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.79% (-0.252 -0.25)51.21% (0.256 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 23.3%
    Stoke City 52.09%
    Draw 24.6%
Rotherham UnitedDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 7.14% (0.058 0.06)
2-1 @ 5.91% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.6% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 23.3%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 11.58% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 5.25% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.2% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 52.09%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Stoke

Rotherham United
28.6%
Draw
23.8%
Stoke City
47.6%
21
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Stoke
6-1
Rotherham
Burger (2'), Mmaee (18'), Laurent (29', 55'), Campbell (43'), Leris (72')
Wilmot (47')
Morrison (22')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Stoke
4-1
Rotherham
Hoever (5'), Vidigal (45+3', 45+8'), Brown (90')
Brown (30'), Pearson (45+2'), Johnson (74'), Laurent (88'), Thompson (90+5')
Peltier (46')
Bramall (25'), Odofin (28'), Morrison (45+2'), Cafu (52')
Cafu (69')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 24
Rotherham
2-2
Stoke
Thompson (45' og.), Washington (71')
Campbell (61'), Peltier (80' og.)
Oct 18, 2022 8pm
Jan 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Rotherham
3-3
Stoke
Crooks (31', 67'), Smith (51')
Crooks (81'), Olosunde (90+1')
MacDonald (14' og.), Batth (62'), Powell (75')
Batth (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Swiatek
Sabalenka
7 4 79
5 6 67
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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