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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Swansea City |
30.73% ( 0.09) | 23.25% ( 0.06) | 46.01% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 62.2% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.92% ( -0.25) | 39.07% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.6% ( -0.26) | 61.39% ( 0.25) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.24% ( -0.07) | 24.75% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.68% ( -0.09) | 59.32% ( 0.08) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.66% ( -0.16) | 17.33% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.29% ( -0.27) | 47.7% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Swansea City |
2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.73% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.03% Total : 46.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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