MX23RW : Saturday, May 4 21:00:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Birmingham logo
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Hull logo
Ipswich logo
Leeds logo
Leicester logo
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Plymouth Argyle
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Rotherham logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Southampton logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Swansea logo
Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Norwich logo

Swansea
2 - 1
Norwich

Lowe (3'), Humphreys (83')
Lowe (48'), Key (52'), Cullen (55'), Cooper (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sara (22')
Gibson (18'), Rowe (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-3 Swansea
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Birmingham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 2-2 Norwich City

None of the last nine league encounters between Swansea and Norwich have ended as a draw, but a closely-fought contest could be on the cards on Wednesday. Both teams have regularly shown their threat in the final third so far this term, but they have also looked vulnerable at times defensively, so we can see an entertaining score draw being played out in South Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swansea City in this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
41.46% (-0.215 -0.22) 24.11% (-0.142 -0.14) 34.43% (0.36199999999999 0.36)
Both teams to score 60.61% (0.625 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.2% (0.773 0.77)41.8% (-0.77 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (0.775 0.77)64.2% (-0.771 -0.77)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.65% (0.232 0.23)20.35% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.24% (0.363 0.36)52.76% (-0.359 -0.36)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1% (0.568 0.57)23.9% (-0.564 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.9% (0.807 0.81)58.1% (-0.802 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 41.46%
    Norwich City 34.43%
    Draw 24.11%
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.74% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-0 @ 6.16% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.68% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.035 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 41.46%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.078 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 7.93% (0.043 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.96% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.79% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.086 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.051 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.43%

How you voted: Swansea vs Norwich

Swansea City
32.4%
Draw
24.3%
Norwich City
43.2%
37
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Norwich
0-3
Swansea
Latibeaudiere (23'), Cullen (39'), Ntcham (64')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Swansea
0-1
Norwich
Pukki (1')
Feb 5, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 28
Swansea
2-0
Norwich
Ayew (42'), Hourihane (48')
Bennett (65'), Guehi (69'), Woodman (84')

Idah (67'), Vrancic (78')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 11
Norwich
1-0
Swansea
Stiepermann (84')
Aarons (88')

Guehi (17'), Naughton (36'), Bennett (38'), Fulton (55'), Roberts (90+3')
Mar 8, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Norwich
1-0
Swansea
Buendia (54')
Buendia (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Swiatek
Sabalenka
7 4 79
5 6 67
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!