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Championship | Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Birmingham logo

Norwich
2 - 0
Birmingham

Sara (55'), Rowe (60')
Sara (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Long (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Norwich
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Birmingham City

Norwich produced a promising performance at Craven Cottage despite bowing out of the EFL Cup, but the Canaries will still need to start brightly on Saturday to erase memories of their capitulation against Plymouth last weekend. Birmingham face three matches in the space of seven days as they battle with an ongoing injury crisis, although with a week's break under their belts, Eustace's men should be able to collect a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBirmingham City
49.59% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01) 25.97% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 24.44%
Both teams to score 48.41% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.07% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)54.93% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.79% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)76.21% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)22.19% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)55.59% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.21% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)37.79% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.44% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)74.56% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 49.59%
    Birmingham City 24.44%
    Draw 25.97%
Norwich CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 12.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 49.59%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 8.38% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.16% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.98% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 24.44%

How you voted: Norwich vs Birmingham

Norwich City
63.6%
Draw
22.7%
Birmingham City
13.6%
22
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Norwich
3-1
Birmingham
Nunez (27', 36'), Tzolis (90+4')
Colin (53')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Birmingham
1-2
Norwich
Hogan (50')
Omobamidele (63'), Hernandez (90+3')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Norwich
2-2
Birmingham
Norwich win 4-2 on penalties
Sinani (45+1'), Sorensen (45+3')
Hugill (19')
Leko (53'), Tomkinson (79' og.)
Jutkiewicz (11'), Colin (71')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 32
Birmingham
1-3
Norwich
Sanchez (39')
Hogan (68'), Clarke-Salter (84')
Pukki (26', 76'), Skipp (90+5')
Zimmermann (19'), Vrancic (62')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Norwich
1-0
Birmingham
Vrancic (87')
Idah (89')

Clayton (50'), Dean (54'), Friend (88'), Sunjic (90')
Clayton (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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