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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Blackburn logo

Birmingham
1 - 0
Blackburn

Dozzell (77')
Laird (64'), Dembele (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garrett (49'), Hyam (52'), Tronstad (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Blackburn Rovers

Birmingham will be happy to be back at St Andrew's following three-straight losses on the road, and Blues should be able to end their barren spell in front of the net. Eustace will be desperate to get one over his former club on Tuesday night, but we believe that Blackburn will have to settle for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
41.62% (-0.239 -0.24) 24.15% (0.073 0.07) 34.22% (0.168 0.17)
Both teams to score 60.39% (-0.219 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.93% (-0.307 -0.31)42.06% (0.309 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.53% (-0.308 -0.31)64.47% (0.31 0.31)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.61% (-0.238 -0.24)20.39% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.18% (-0.38 -0.38)52.81% (0.382 0.38)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)24.14% (0.049000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.55% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)58.45% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 41.62%
    Blackburn Rovers 34.22%
    Draw 24.15%
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.83% (0.05 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 41.62%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.068 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.15%
1-2 @ 7.91% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 7% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 34.22%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Blackburn

Birmingham City
41.3%
Draw
32.6%
Blackburn Rovers
26.1%
92
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Blackburn
4-2
Birmingham
Szmodics (47', 52'), Hill (59'), Leonard (90+2')
Tronstad (31'), Travis (33'), Wharton (80'), Leonard (87')
Dembele (63', 78')
Aiwu (28'), Bielik (35')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Fourth Round Replays
Birmingham
0-1
Blackburn
Trusty (100' og.)
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Blackburn
2-1
Birmingham
Gallagher (17'), Wharton (42')
Hogan (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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