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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
20.49% | 22.93% | 56.58% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 52.7% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.21% ( 0) | 46.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.95% | 69.05% ( 0) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.99% | 37.01% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.2% | 73.8% ( 0) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.67% ( 0) | 16.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.08% ( 0) | 45.92% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
1-0 @ 6.01% 2-1 @ 5.41% 2-0 @ 2.99% 3-1 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.62% 3-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.68% Total : 20.49% | 1-1 @ 10.88% 0-0 @ 6.04% 2-2 @ 4.9% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.92% | 0-1 @ 10.95% 0-2 @ 9.92% 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-3 @ 6% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.96% 2-3 @ 2.96% 0-4 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 2.7% 2-4 @ 1.34% 0-5 @ 0.99% 1-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.2% Total : 56.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
8 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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