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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Werder Bremen |
50.76% ( 0.02) | 24.18% ( 0.02) | 25.05% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.46% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.74% ( -0.1) | 47.26% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.51% ( -0.09) | 69.49% ( 0.09) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.36% ( -0.03) | 18.64% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.05% ( -0.05) | 49.95% ( 0.05) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.94% ( -0.08) | 33.06% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.34% ( -0.09) | 69.65% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Werder Bremen |
1-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.28% Total : 50.76% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.18% | 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 25.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
11 | Heidenheim | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 34 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 31 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 29 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 27 |
17 | FC Koln | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 72 | -42 | 17 |
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