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Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Leverkusen logo

FC Koln
0 - 2
B. Leverkusen


Ljubicic (16'), Martel (30')
Thielmann (14')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Frimpong (37'), Grimaldo (73')
Frimpong (23'), Stanisic (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 FC Koln
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 0-3 Bayer Leverkusen

Nothing can stop Leverkusen at the moment, as even when they are off-colour they are still picking up results, as they did against Mainz last time out, and another win is on the cards. Koln have not beaten a side at the top of the Bundesliga in their last 23 attempts, and they have shown little signs of changing that heading into this one, despite a respectable draw last weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 18.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawBayer Leverkusen
18.88% (-1.117 -1.12) 21.84% (-0.096999999999998 -0.1) 59.28% (1.216 1.22)
Both teams to score 53.58% (-1.611 -1.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69% (-1.202 -1.2)44.31% (1.203 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.31% (-1.178 -1.18)66.68% (1.179 1.18)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.72% (-1.876 -1.88)37.27% (1.876 1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.94% (-1.9 -1.9)74.06% (1.902 1.9)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.42% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)14.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.34% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)42.65% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 18.88%
    Bayer Leverkusen 59.27%
    Draw 21.83%
FC KolnDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 5.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.1% (-0.261 -0.26)
2-0 @ 2.65% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-1 @ 1.68% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.172 -0.17)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 18.88%
1-1 @ 10.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.43% (0.279 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.254 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.83%
0-1 @ 10.46% (0.528 0.53)
0-2 @ 10.07% (0.503 0.5)
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.47% (0.322 0.32)
1-3 @ 6.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-4 @ 3.11% (0.154 0.15)
1-4 @ 3.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-5 @ 1.2% (0.059 0.06)
1-5 @ 1.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 59.27%

How you voted: FC Koln vs B. Leverkusen

FC Koln
5.7%
Draw
9.1%
Bayer Leverkusen
85.2%
88
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
B. Leverkusen
3-0
FC Koln
Hofmann (22'), Frimpong (32'), Okoh Boniface (67')
Frimpong (23'), Tapsoba (45+3'), Tah (61'), Alonso (66')

Baumgart (24')
May 5, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 31
B. Leverkusen
1-2
FC Koln
Adli (28')
Selke (14', 36')
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
FC Koln
1-2
B. Leverkusen
Schmitz (30')
Amiri (65'), Diaby (71')
Mar 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
B. Leverkusen
0-1
FC Koln

Palacios (45+1'), Demirbay (90+2')
Schindler (67')
Skhiri (52'), Schmitz (65')
Oct 24, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
FC Koln
2-2
B. Leverkusen
Modeste (63', 82')
Uth (36')
Schick (15'), Bellarabi (17')
Demirbay (43'), Diaby (65'), Andrich (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317


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