MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 21:47:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bayern logo
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Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
SV Darmstadt
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Leipzig logo

FC Koln
1 - 5
RB Leipzig

Adamyan (18')
Finkgrafe (49'), Alidou (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Simons (15'), Openda (63', 67'), Haidara (70'), Poulsen (82')
Simons (62'), Haidara (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-3 FC Koln
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-3 RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig bounced back well from their Champions League disappointment last week and have an excellent opportunity to move into the top four in the league, with Dortmund taking on Frankfurt later in the weekend. Koln have lost three of their last four home games, and we feel they will struggle to avoid another defeat in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawRB Leipzig
29.38% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 22.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 47.63% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 62.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.42% (0.0049999999999955 0)38.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.12% (0.0039999999999978 0)60.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)25.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)60.16% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.47% (0.015000000000001 0.02)16.53% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.72% (0.028000000000006 0.03)46.28% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 29.38%
    RB Leipzig 47.63%
    Draw 22.99%
FC KolnDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 7.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 3.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 29.38%
1-1 @ 10.35%
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 9.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 4.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.83% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 47.63%

How you voted: FC Koln vs RB Leipzig

FC Koln
10.4%
Draw
6.0%
RB Leipzig
83.6%
134
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
RB Leipzig
6-0
FC Koln
Werner (15' pen.), Openda (40', 45+3'), Raum (43'), Sesko (88'), Baumgartner (90+1')
Simakan (19'), Rose (36'), Klostermann (79')

Chabot (29'), Olesen (72'), Baumgart (82'), Kilian (85')
Olesen (80')
Feb 4, 2023 2.30pm
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
RB Leipzig
2-2
FC Koln
Werner (36'), Nkunku (56')
Henrichs (89')
Szoboszlai (45+1')
Dietz (40'), Gvardiol (72' og.)
Thielmann (18'), Hubers (48'), Adamyan (76'), Kainz (79')
Feb 11, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 22
RB Leipzig
3-1
FC Koln
Nkunku (25'), Olmo (54'), Angelino (57')
Gvardiol (62')
Lemperle (90+1')
Thielmann (9'), Hubers (35')
Sep 18, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
FC Koln
1-1
RB Leipzig
Modeste (53')
Czichos (17'), Mere (76'), Schmitz (79')
Haidara (71')
Klostermann (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317


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