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The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Greuther Furth and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Greuther Furth
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Stuttgarter Kickers vs. Greuther Furth
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Next Game: Kaiserslautern vs. Freiburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Greuther Furth 1-4 Freiburg

Greuther Furth are likely to pose a threat in the final third, having scored in eight of their last 11 league games; however, their defensive frailties could let them down once again against an in-form Freiburg outfit. The visitors will be strong favourites to come away with all three points on Saturday and few would be surprised to see them win convincingly at Sportpark Ronhof. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.42%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Greuther FurthDrawFreiburg
26.97%23.98%49.04%
Both teams to score 56.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.15%44.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.79%67.22%
Greuther Furth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74%30.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.57%66.44%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.62%18.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48%49.53%
Score Analysis
    Greuther Furth 26.97%
    Freiburg 49.05%
    Draw 23.98%
Greuther FurthDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 6.73%
1-0 @ 6.65%
2-0 @ 3.98%
3-1 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 2.27%
3-0 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 26.97%
1-1 @ 11.26%
2-2 @ 5.7%
0-0 @ 5.56%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.98%
1-2 @ 9.54%
0-1 @ 9.42%
0-2 @ 7.98%
1-3 @ 5.38%
0-3 @ 4.51%
2-3 @ 3.22%
1-4 @ 2.28%
0-4 @ 1.91%
2-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 49.05%

How you voted: Greuther Furth vs Freiburg

Greuther Furth
13.0%
Draw
8.7%
Freiburg
78.3%
23
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
3-1
Greuther Furth
Asta (20' og.), Hofler (39'), Grifo (79' pen.)
Leweling (74')
Green (41'), Christiansen (50')
May 11, 2013 2.30pm
Dec 8, 2012 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-0
Greuther Furth
Caligiuri (15')
Sorg (47'), Günter (85')

Kleine (8'), Asamoah (33'), Rahman (59'), Nehrig (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


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