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Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Freiburg logo

RB Leipzig
1 - 1
Freiburg

Angelino (90')
Henrichs (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Demirovic (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Freiburg

This could well be a tight affair on Saturday, with Freiburg sure to remain well organised in their quest to frustrate their hosts for long periods of the game. There is likely to be little between the two sides, but we are predicting for Leipzig to narrowly edge out the visitors thanks to home advantage, as well as the form of Nkunku in particular. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 13.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawFreiburg
67.32%19.05%13.63%
Both teams to score 51.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.29%41.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.89%64.11%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.56%11.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.76%36.24%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.65%42.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.27%78.73%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 67.31%
    Freiburg 13.63%
    Draw 19.05%
RB LeipzigDrawFreiburg
2-0 @ 11.38%
1-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 9.78%
3-0 @ 8.23%
3-1 @ 7.07%
4-0 @ 4.46%
4-1 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 3.04%
5-0 @ 1.93%
5-1 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.65%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 67.31%
1-1 @ 9.03%
0-0 @ 4.84%
2-2 @ 4.2%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 19.05%
0-1 @ 4.16%
1-2 @ 3.88%
0-2 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.2%
1-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 13.63%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Freiburg

RB Leipzig
82.1%
Draw
16.4%
Freiburg
1.5%
67
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
Woo-yeong (64')
Forsberg (32' pen.)
Marsch (36'), Haidara (44'), Gvardiol (57'), Simakan (85'), Mukiele (89')
Mar 6, 2021 2.30pm
Nov 7, 2020 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
3-0
Freiburg
Konate (26'), Sabitzer (70' pen.), Angelino (89')
Orban (28'), Henrichs (62')

Lienhart (25'), Gulde (44'), Tempelmann (90+1')
May 16, 2020 2.30pm
Oct 26, 2019 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-1
RB Leipzig
Hofler (45'), Petersen (90')
Hofler (62'), Haberer (66'), Grifo (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Stuttgart33224774393570
3Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Freiburg33119134456-1242
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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