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Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
Apr 23, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Union Berlin logo

RB Leipzig
1 - 2
Union Berlin

Poulsen (46')
Olmo (87'), Adams (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Michel (86'), Behrens (89')
Behrens (90+1'), Ronnow (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Next Game: Teutonia Hamburg vs. RB Leipzig
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Chemnitzer vs. Union Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 Union Berlin

As was the case in midweek, we can see Leipzig coming out on top here against a visiting Union side that lacks the same quality and intensity when playing on the road. The late winner on Wednesday is sure to give the hosts a huge psychological advantage over their opponents too, and with the excellent form that they find themselves in during 2022, it is difficult to see many being able to stop them extending their unbeaten run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 69.38%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 12.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawUnion Berlin
69.38%18.07%12.55%
Both teams to score 51.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.21%39.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.85%62.15%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.63%10.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.13%33.87%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.22%42.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.9%79.11%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 69.37%
    Union Berlin 12.55%
    Draw 18.07%
RB LeipzigDrawUnion Berlin
2-0 @ 11.39%
1-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 9.67%
3-0 @ 8.61%
3-1 @ 7.31%
4-0 @ 4.88%
4-1 @ 4.14%
3-2 @ 3.1%
5-0 @ 2.21%
5-1 @ 1.88%
4-2 @ 1.76%
Other @ 4.38%
Total : 69.37%
1-1 @ 8.54%
0-0 @ 4.44%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 18.07%
0-1 @ 3.77%
1-2 @ 3.62%
0-2 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.16%
1-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 12.55%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin

RB Leipzig
79.2%
Draw
8.3%
Union Berlin
12.5%
72
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2022 7.45pm
RB Leipzig
2-1
Union Berlin
Silva (61' pen.), Forsberg (90+3')
Laimer (35'), Simakan (90+4')
Becker (25')
Knoche (43'), Khedira (80'), Michel (90+5')
Dec 3, 2021 7.30pm
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 20, 2021 7.30pm
Jan 18, 2020 5.30pm
RB Leipzig
3-1
Union Berlin
Werner (51', 83'), Sabitzer (57')
Haidara (88')
Bulter (10')
Andersson (60'), Ryerson (71'), Parensen (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


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