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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 60 | 77 |
2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 33 | 69 |
3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 33 | 64 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 33 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 35 | 58 |
5 | Union Berlin | 34 | 6 | 57 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 44%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.41%) and 0-1 (5.38%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | RB Leipzig |
34.1% | 21.89% | 44% |
Both teams to score 68.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.12% | 30.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.76% | 52.24% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.01% | 18.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.46% | 50.54% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.12% | 14.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.77% | 43.23% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 7.43% 1-0 @ 4.69% 3-1 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 3.92% 2-0 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.63% 4-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.52% Total : 34.1% | 1-1 @ 8.94% 2-2 @ 7.08% 0-0 @ 2.83% 3-3 @ 2.49% Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.89% | 1-2 @ 8.52% 1-3 @ 5.41% 0-1 @ 5.38% 0-2 @ 5.13% 2-3 @ 4.49% 0-3 @ 3.26% 1-4 @ 2.58% 2-4 @ 2.14% 0-4 @ 1.55% 3-4 @ 1.19% 1-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.37% Total : 44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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