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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 6, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Dortmund logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Dortmund

Nkunku (29'), Poulsen (68')
Adams (40'), Poulsen (65'), Szoboszlai (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Reus (52')
Bellingham (31'), Reus (31'), Witsel (38'), Meunier (55'), Moukoko (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Dortmund
40.45%24.14%35.4%
Both teams to score 60.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.25%41.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.85%64.15%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2%20.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54%53.45%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.66%23.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.7%57.29%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 40.45%
    Borussia Dortmund 35.4%
    Draw 24.13%
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.71%
1-0 @ 7.62%
2-0 @ 5.98%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-2 @ 3.32%
3-0 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-2 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 40.45%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.34%
0-0 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.13%
1-2 @ 8.07%
0-1 @ 7.06%
0-2 @ 5.14%
1-3 @ 3.91%
2-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 1.12%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 35.4%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Dortmund

RB Leipzig
52.6%
Draw
14.3%
Borussia Dortmund
33.1%
154
Head to Head
May 13, 2021 7.45pm
Final
RB Leipzig
1-4
Dortmund
Olmo (71')
Upamecano (45'), Olmo (81')
Sancho (5', 45'), Braut Haaland (28', 87')
Can (15'), Bellingham (25'), Dahoud (50'), Sancho (81'), Hummels (90')
May 8, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Dortmund
3-2
RB Leipzig
Reus (7'), Sancho (51', 87')
Hummels (74')
Klostermann (63'), Olmo (77')
Haidara (90+1')
Jan 9, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
RB Leipzig
1-3
Dortmund
Sorloth (90')
Sancho (55'), Braut Haaland (71', 84')
Delaney (32'), Akanji (73')
Jun 20, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 17, 2019 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


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