Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 53.76%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.6%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Macarthur |
25.86% ( 0.46) | 20.38% ( 0.11) | 53.76% ( -0.57) |
Both teams to score 69.04% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.47% ( -0.11) | 28.53% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.6% ( -0.13) | 49.39% ( 0.13) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.59% ( 0.24) | 22.41% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.07% ( 0.36) | 55.93% ( -0.36) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.98% ( -0.19) | 11.02% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.67% ( -0.41) | 35.32% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 25.86% | 1-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.58% Total : 20.38% | 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.6% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.94% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 3.64% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 1.36% ( -0) 2-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.33% Total : 53.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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