Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 52.21%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 25.74% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Macarthur |
52.21% ( -0.19) | 22.04% ( 0.13) | 25.74% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 62.57% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.13% ( -0.54) | 36.87% ( 0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.95% ( -0.59) | 59.05% ( 0.59) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.68% ( -0.25) | 14.32% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.86% ( -0.49) | 42.14% ( 0.49) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.02% ( -0.24) | 26.98% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.68% ( -0.31) | 62.32% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.73% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.43% Total : 52.22% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.04% | 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 25.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |