World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade d'Agadir
Sao Tome0 - 2Namibia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tunisia 4-0 Sao Tome
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-0 Namibia
Wednesday, November 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Wednesday, November 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Tunisia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Mali | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | South Africa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Namibia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Sao Tome & Principe 0-1 Namibia
With both sides falling to defeat in their opening games, this is a must win match for both teams if they are to stand any realistic chance of reaching their first ever World Cup. While that will be a tall order for both nations regardless of Tuesday's outcome, Namibia clearly possess a little more quality and should narrowly get the job done. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 12.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.87%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Namibia would win this match.
Result | ||
Sao Tome & Principe | Draw | Namibia |
12.04% ( 0.74) | 20.64% ( 0.67) | 67.32% ( -1.41) |
Both teams to score 41.58% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.01% ( -0.9) | 51.99% ( 0.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.27% ( -0.78) | 73.73% ( 0.78) |
Sao Tome & Principe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.67% ( 0.76) | 51.33% ( -0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.43% ( 0.5) | 85.57% ( -0.5) |
Namibia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.45% ( -0.72) | 14.56% ( 0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.39% ( -1.41) | 42.61% ( 1.41) |
Score Analysis |
Sao Tome & Principe 12.04%
Namibia 67.32%
Draw 20.64%
Sao Tome & Principe | Draw | Namibia |
1-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.2% Total : 12.04% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.48% Total : 20.64% | 0-1 @ 14.4% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 13.87% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 8.91% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 5.94% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 4.3% ( -0.3) 1-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.66% ( -0.16) 1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.08% Total : 67.32% |
How you voted: Sao Tome vs Namibia
Sao Tome & Principe
7.7%Draw
15.4%Namibia
76.9%13
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
11 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |
1
Late Chelsea winner denied in pulsating four-goal Aston Villa draw
2
Chelsea make three changes for Aston Villa game
3
Estrela Amadora vs. Farense - prediction, team news, lineups
4
Chelsea 'ready to sell four home-grown stars this summer'
5
'It was a mistake, I apologise' - Amorim regrets holding talks with PL club
6
Barcelona 'planning lucrative new deal for Man United-linked centre-back'
7
Arsenal 'leading Man United, Man City in race for Brighton attacker'
8
Liverpool 'losing patience with South American attacker'
9
Huddersfield all but relegated from Championship
10
'If I speak there will be fire' - Salah responds to Klopp row
Sport News 24/7