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Tunisia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade Olympique de Rades
Sao Tome and Principe national football team

Tunisia
4 - 0
Sao Tome

Meriah (37'), Msakni (53'), Rafia (79'), Ben Larbi (88')
Rafia (50'), Jouini (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Viegas (22'), Silva (25'), Viegas (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Tunisia and Sao Tome & Principe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Japan 2-0 Tunisia
Tuesday, October 17 at 11.10am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Nigeria 6-0 Sao Tome
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Tunisia 3-1 Sao Tome & Principe

Tunisia have endured a tough run of results of late but are still huge favourites to come out on top here. We fully expect the hosts to get the job done in a relatively comfortable manner come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 93.63%. A draw had a probability of 5% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 1.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.56%) and 2-0 (12.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.34%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (0.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.

Result
TunisiaDrawSao Tome & Principe
93.63% (1.26 1.26) 5.03% (-0.8839 -0.88) 1.33% (-0.3779 -0.38)
Both teams to score 28.62% (-2.053 -2.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.1% (1.874 1.87)23.89% (-1.877 -1.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.54% (2.457 2.46)43.45% (-2.46 -2.46)
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.39% (0.43899999999999 0.44)2.61% (-0.442 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.88% (1.57 1.57)12.12% (-1.573 -1.57)
Sao Tome & Principe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
29.38% (-2.252 -2.25)70.61% (2.248 2.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
4.81% (-0.82 -0.82)95.18% (0.81699999999999 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Tunisia 93.62%
    Sao Tome & Principe 1.33%
    Draw 5.03%
TunisiaDrawSao Tome & Principe
3-0 @ 14.88% (0.11 0.11)
4-0 @ 13.56% (0.67 0.67)
2-0 @ 12.24% (-0.45 -0.45)
5-0 @ 9.9% (0.898 0.9)
1-0 @ 6.72% (-0.56 -0.56)
6-0 @ 6.02% (0.78 0.78)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.439 -0.44)
4-1 @ 4.72% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-1 @ 4.26% (-0.569 -0.57)
5-1 @ 3.44% (0.021 0.02)
7-0 @ 3.13% (0.523 0.52)
6-1 @ 2.09% (0.102 0.1)
8-0 @ 1.43% (0.289 0.29)
7-1 @ 1.09% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 0.9% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 93.62%
1-1 @ 2.34% (-0.43 -0.43)
0-0 @ 1.84% (-0.243 -0.24)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 5.03%
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 1.33%

How you voted: Tunisia vs Sao Tome

Tunisia
77.8%
Draw
22.2%
Sao Tome & Principe
0.0%
9
rhs 2.0
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