Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 19, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Ajax0 - 3Chelsea Women
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-1 Arsenal Women
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Goals
for
for
48
We said: Ajax Women 2-2 Chelsea Women
Chelsea may be a stronger squad than their hosts on paper, but we think that the Blues will have to be contend with a first-leg draw against an Ajax side that enjoyed significant success in their three home group matches earlier this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Ajax Women had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Ajax Women win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
31.28% ( 0.02) | 24.96% | 43.77% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.48% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.29% ( 0.01) | 46.71% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.03% ( 0.01) | 68.97% ( -0.01) |
Ajax Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.82% ( 0.02) | 28.18% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.13% ( 0.02) | 63.87% ( -0.02) |
Chelsea Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.63% | 21.37% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.66% | 54.35% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax Women 31.28%
Chelsea Women 43.77%
Draw 24.96%
Ajax Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.83% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.28% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.17% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.69% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.8% 0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 43.77% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Chelsea Women
Ajax Women
28.3%Draw
23.3%Chelsea Women
48.3%60
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-27 05:20:51
1pm
Bublik
Carballes Baena
Carballes Baena
10am
Auger-Aliassime
Mannarino
Mannarino
10am
Bautista Agut
Khachanov
Khachanov
10am
Cachin
Tiafoe
Tiafoe
10am
De Minaur
Nadal
Nadal
10am
Dimitrov
Mensik
Mensik
10am
Jarry
Cobolli
Cobolli
10am
Kecmanovic
Ruud
Ruud
10am
Kotov
Thompson
Thompson
10am
Lehecka
Medjedovic
Medjedovic
10am
Machac
Shelton
Shelton
10am
Medvedev
Arnaldi
Arnaldi
10am
Monteiro
Tsitsipas
Tsitsipas
10am
Norrie
Fonseca
Fonseca
10am
Purcell
Korda
Korda
10am
Sinner
Sonego
Sonego
10am
Azarenka
Sorribes Tormo
Sorribes Tormo
10am
Annie Fernandez
Jabeur
Jabeur
10am
Gauff
Yastremska
Yastremska
10am
Haddad Maia
Navarro
Navarro
10am
Keys
Samsonova
Samsonova
10am
Ostapenko
Lourdes Carle
Lourdes Carle
10am
Stephens
Sakkari
Sakkari
10am
Swiatek
Cirstea
Cirstea
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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