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Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea Women
1 - 1
Ajax

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Chelsea Women and Ajax Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 0-2 Chelsea Women
Sunday, March 24 at 4.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Ajax 0-3 Chelsea Women
Tuesday, March 19 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Chelsea Women 3-1 Ajax Women

Chelsea know that they do not have to win Wednesday's second leg to progress, but with Ajax needing to take risks, we think that the Blues will exploit any space left in behind to claim a victory and ease through to the semi-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Ajax Women had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Ajax Women win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawAjax Women
46.32% (0.671 0.67) 22.69% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 30.99% (-0.647 -0.65)
Both teams to score 64.44% (-0.268 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.8% (-0.20700000000001 -0.21)36.2% (0.207 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.69% (-0.227 -0.23)58.31% (0.226 0.23)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.9% (0.169 0.17)16.1% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.49% (0.307 0.31)45.51% (-0.307 -0.31)
Ajax Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81% (-0.47499999999999 -0.47)23.19% (0.475 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.91% (-0.698 -0.7)57.09% (0.69900000000001 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 46.32%
    Ajax Women 30.99%
    Draw 22.69%
Chelsea WomenDrawAjax Women
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.82% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.134 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.54% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.79% (0.103 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.057 0.06)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 46.32%
1-1 @ 9.97% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.65% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.74% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.97% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.69%
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-1 @ 5.46% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.24% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 30.99%

How you voted: Chelsea Women vs Ajax

Chelsea Women
89.7%
Draw
7.7%
Ajax Women
2.6%
39
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2024 5.45pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Ajax
0-3
Chelsea Women

Yohannes (14')
James (19'), Nusken (44', 83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5.30pm
Auger-Aliassime
Rublev
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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