Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Aug 27, 2020 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional2 - 1Progreso
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Progreso.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Progreso win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Progreso |
44.06% | 27.22% | 28.72% |
Both teams to score 48.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.03% | 56.96% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.13% | 77.87% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.31% | 25.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.39% | 60.61% |
Progreso Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.7% | 35.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.94% | 72.06% |
Score Analysis |
Nacional 44.05%
Progreso 28.72%
Draw 27.22%
Nacional | Draw | Progreso |
1-0 @ 12.32% 2-1 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 8.38% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.21% Total : 44.05% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 9.07% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 4.92% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.07% Total : 28.72% |
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2019 7pm
Jul 27, 2019 11.30pm
Nacional
4-2
Progreso
Zunino (45'), Laborda (67'), Bergessio (74', 88')
Neves Perdomo (40'), Vina (41'), Cardacio (62'), Barrientos (76')
Neves Perdomo (40'), Vina (41'), Cardacio (62'), Barrientos (76')
May 5, 2019 12am
Aug 19, 2018 10pm
Mar 4, 2018 7.30pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-26 23:16:29
1pm
Bublik
Carballes Baena
Carballes Baena
10am
Auger-Aliassime
Mannarino
Mannarino
10am
Bautista Agut
Khachanov
Khachanov
10am
Cachin
Tiafoe
Tiafoe
10am
De Minaur
Nadal
Nadal
10am
Dimitrov
Mensik
Mensik
10am
Jarry
Cobolli
Cobolli
10am
Kecmanovic
Ruud
Ruud
10am
Kotov
Thompson
Thompson
10am
Lehecka
Medjedovic
Medjedovic
10am
Machac
Shelton
Shelton
10am
Medvedev
Arnaldi
Arnaldi
10am
Monteiro
Tsitsipas
Tsitsipas
10am
Norrie
Fonseca
Fonseca
10am
Purcell
Korda
Korda
10am
Sinner
Sonego
Sonego
10am
Azarenka
Sorribes Tormo
Sorribes Tormo
10am
Annie Fernandez
Jabeur
Jabeur
10am
Gauff
Yastremska
Yastremska
10am
Haddad Maia
Navarro
Navarro
10am
Keys
Samsonova
Samsonova
10am
Ostapenko
Lourdes Carle
Lourdes Carle
10am
Stephens
Sakkari
Sakkari
10am
Swiatek
Cirstea
Cirstea
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PenarolPenarol | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 4 | 15 | 25 |
2 | ProgresoProgreso | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 21 |
3 | NacionalNacional | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 19 |
4 | Defensor SportingDefensor | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 15 |
5 | Boston RiverBoston River | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 15 |
6 | River PlateRiver Plate | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Racing de MontevideoRacing | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 12 |
8 | Cerro Largo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
9 | LiverpoolLiverpool | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 11 |
10 | DanubioDanubio | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 9 |
11 | CerroCerro | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
12 | Montevideo WanderersWanderers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8 |
13 | Miramar Misiones | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 7 |
14 | Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Rampla JuniorsRampla | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 7 |
16 | FenixFenix | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 |
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