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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Aug 16, 2020 at 4pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino

Progreso
2 - 0
Cerro

Silva (25'), Jara (44')
Gottesman (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Paiva (41'), Tancredi (75'), Filgueira (79'), (90+4')
Filgueira (90+4')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Cerro.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Cerro win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progreso would win this match.

Result
ProgresoDrawCerro
38.94%27.82%33.23%
Both teams to score 48.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.18%57.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.45%78.54%
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13%28.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26%64.73%
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.55%32.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02%68.97%
Score Analysis
    Progreso 38.93%
    Cerro 33.23%
    Draw 27.81%
ProgresoDrawCerro
1-0 @ 11.63%
2-1 @ 8.14%
2-0 @ 7.23%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-0 @ 2.99%
3-2 @ 1.9%
4-1 @ 1.05%
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 38.93%
1-1 @ 13.09%
0-0 @ 9.37%
2-2 @ 4.58%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 7.37%
0-2 @ 5.93%
1-3 @ 2.77%
0-3 @ 2.23%
2-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 33.23%

Head to Head
Nov 3, 2019 7pm
Progreso
1-1
Cerro
Gularte (16')
Asconeguy (35'), Andrada (43')
Riquero (93')
Tancredi (30')
Tancredi (39'), Pellejero (43'), Alonso (66')
Puente (94')
Apr 13, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 9
Cerro
0-2
Progreso

Brasil (17'), Alonso (31'), Nunez (43')
Diaz (19')
Gonzalez (23' pen.), Rosso (59')
Rodriguez (90')
Aug 25, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 6
Cerro
5-2
Progreso
Gonzalez (10', 89'), Izquierdo (30'), Paiva (62', 92')
Lopez (9'), Nunez (42'), Tamareo (91')
Viega (32'), Lemmo (67')
Gottesman (70')
Mar 10, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 6
Progreso
0-1
Cerro

Rosso (50'), Asconeguy (78'), Mozzo (78')
Rosso (54'), Asconeguy (81')
Nunez (76')
Nunez (50'), Ciganda (66'), Franco (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol98101941525
2ProgresoProgreso96302113821
3NacionalNacional95401881019
4Defensor SportingDefensor94321711615
5Boston RiverBoston River94321210215
6River PlateRiver Plate93331311212
7Racing de MontevideoRacing93331312112
8Cerro Largo933388012
9LiverpoolLiverpool92521413111
10DanubioDanubio9234610-49
11CerroCerro91531016-68
12Montevideo WanderersWanderers9225814-68
13Miramar Misiones91441115-47
14Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado9216814-67
15Rampla JuniorsRampla9216821-137
16FenixFenix9045511-64


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