Chornomorets

1 - 6

Dynamo Kiev

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 54.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 22.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 2-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.