Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Cremonese |
40.25% ( -0.04) | 25.95% ( 0.01) | 33.79% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.02% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.72% ( -0.04) | 50.28% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.77% ( -0.03) | 72.23% ( 0.03) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.36% ( -0.04) | 24.64% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.85% ( -0.05) | 59.15% ( 0.05) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.68% ( -0) | 28.32% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.95% ( -0) | 64.05% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Cremonese |
1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 40.25% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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